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Do Your Research In a game with so much public attention, the betting lines are razor sharp. It takes smart, informed bets to beat the sportsbooks. That starts with thoroughly researching the two teams, how they match up, their offensive and defensive strengths/weaknesses and any key injuries that could impact the game. Gather intel from credible sources in the week leading up to the big game to identify any value opportunities the oddsmakers may have overlooked or undervalued in the line. Understanding the intricacies of the matchup will pay major dividends before placing your wager. DraftKings Super Bowl Xlix Prop Bets , Public Continues Influencing Line Direction Swarming the betting market weeks later overly influenced mainstream media hype bias and brand affinity, unsophisticated fans bet more favorites and over wagers. This causes books adjusting number upwards (shading) benefiting underdogs and lowers flipping tickets to magnify profits on losing public bets. Season long perception and casual fans bank on star power quarterbacks and higher profile teams despite late statistical evidence supporting their actual upset probabilities. Historical data proves true every year.
Line shopping across books for the best odds and spreads DraftKings Have Fun and Enjoy the Game: Embracing the Excitement If your game theory predicts extremely high probability outcome, consider hedging related props working backwards. Example getting great value on one team starting quarterback throwing over 2.5 touchdowns then also taking same team winning by 7-12 points range. Structuring correlated positions builds margin for error if original thesis proves directionally accurate but slightly off statistically. .
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